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World Cup 2006 Preview – Italy

Absolute odds: 10/1

Winners of group E: 10.11

Italy are the great masters of heartbreaking tragedy when it comes to grand finals. In all three World Cups held in the 1990s, the Italians went down on penalties, including Roberto Baggio’s infamous miss against Brazil in the 1994 final.

They are not much better off in Europe either. With Euro 2000 in the bag, rivals France equalized four minutes into injury time to win, while at Euro 2004, Italy bowed out in the group stage as Sweden and Denmark drew 2-2, the only result to send either team to the winning end. at the expense of the Italians.

Italy have failed when the art form matters most and are likely to provide plenty of high drama at this summer’s final. More often, however, they bring it on themselves.

Italy coach Marcelo Lippi used a whopping 36 players in qualifying, so it’s arguable he hasn’t found his best starting XI yet. However, after 10 qualifiers in which no player has appeared in more than eight matches, Italy may not have the consistency to triumph in Germany.

Italy are notoriously slow starters in major finals, which won’t help matters in what is potentially the toughest of the groups. They lost an early game in Slovenia in the qualifiers and could have bounced back against the unknowns of Ghana in their opening game.

After a minor blip in qualifying, the Italians went unbeaten for the rest of the campaign, proving to be solid if not spectacular, topping the group by five points. He’s not worth winning or qualifying from Group E 10/11 with a high probability, but given their ‘there or there’ history, they’re likely to secure a place in the last 16.

Their success will come from an impenetrable defense fielded by Fabio Cannavaro, who missed the embarrassing defeat to South Korea in the 2002 final, and Alessandro Nesta.

Lippi also has a headache about who to play in attack. Veterans Alessandro Del Piero and Christian Vieri may make way for Fiorentina’s Alberto Gilardino and AC Milan’s Luca Toni, who have scored four goals in eight qualifying matches. Another possibility is Antonio Cassano from Real Madrid.

Recommended bet:

An unpredictable line-up and a history of doing ‘just enough’ to progress through the tournament rather than winning in style means it’s more worth opposing Italy than backing them in their chances of winning the group or qualifying from it. Their final match against the Czech Republic could end in a top four if both sides need a point to reach the last 16.

Draw Italy vs. Czech Republic 11.5

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